Macroeconomic Quarterly Update (Q4 2024)

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CCA tracks the following 14 economic datapoints, which are some of the common indicators used to monitor the status of the macro economy. A few key takeaways that CCA is monitoring are:

    • Fed officials cut rates twice in Q4 of 2024, to the effect of 25 basis points both in November and December. The Fed’s target interest rate is currently 4.25 – 4.50%.
    • Fed officials chose to leave rates unchanged in January, citing elevated levels of inflation and the strength of the labor market.
        • Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 256,000 in December, and the unemployment rate decreased slightly to 4.1%.
        • The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index was up 2.6% as of the twelve months trailing December 2024. This is still slightly higher than the consistent 2.0% target that the Fed has their sights on achieving.
    • The term spread (difference between 10 Yr and 3 Mo rates) remained negative from October 2022 to December 2024, then became positive in December 2024, demonstrating a normal yield curve.
CCA - Q4 2024 macroeconomics

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